Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1065
SCHEDULED
Monday, October 12 Today
WN 1065 · BWI → MCO
departs 6:54 PM ET · arrives 9:25 PM ET
Your aircraft is N8518R (B738), coming in as WN 1065 from MSP: in the air, landing about 6:47 PM ET, 2 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
91%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
91%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 56 min after the scheduled departure, about 42 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 51%.
+28 pts
91%
Yes 91%
No 9%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 56 min after the scheduled departure, about 42 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 67%.
+25 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.24 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.