WN 1151 · OAK → SEA

departs 12:27 PM PT · arrives 2:32 PM PT

Your aircraft is N7873A (B737), coming in as WN 1151 from SNA: landed 11:40 AM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ OAK is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1151 · OAK → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?