WN 1249 · CMH → MCO

departs 1:32 PM ET · arrives 4:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from CMH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1249 · CMH → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?