WN 1294 · BUR → LAS

took off 9:09 AM PT · landed 9:52 AM PT (scheduled 8:30 AM PT → 9:41 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BUR that day

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1294 · BUR → LAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAS?