Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1295
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 1295 · BWI → BOS
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 35%
Fri 10/16 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.21 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.