WN 1407 · DAL → MCO

departs 1:24 PM CT · arrives 5:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1407 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?