WN 1550 · BWI → DAL

took off 1:15 PM ET · expected to land 2:47 PM CT (scheduled 1:02 PM ET → 3:07 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1550 · BWI → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?