WN 157 · SJD → LAS

departs 12:25 PM MST · arrives 3:02 PM PT

Your aircraft is N240WN (B737), coming in as WN 2017 from SMF: in the air, landing about 11:13 AM MST, 64 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 157 · SJD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?