WN 1646 · PHX → BUR

departs 7:04 AM MT · arrives 8:34 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1646 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?