WN 1656 · DEN → LGA

departs 11:20 AM MT · arrives 5:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1656 · DEN → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?