WN 1703 · FAT → DEN

took off 11:49 AM PT · expected to land 2:33 PM MT (scheduled 11:29 AM PT → 2:49 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ FAT is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1703 · FAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?