WN 1729 · ORF → DEN

took off 12:03 PM ET · landed 1:41 PM MT (scheduled 11:35 AM ET → 1:31 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from ORF are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1729 · ORF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?