WN 1749 · MDW → LAX

departs 6:57 AM CT · arrives 9:23 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MDW are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1749 · MDW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?