WN 1849 · LAS → DTW

departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 7:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1849 · LAS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?