WN 1910 · FLL → BWI

departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 11:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.64286 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

BWI (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1910 · FLL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?