WN 1931 · FLL → SJU

departs 5:23 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM AT

Your aircraft is N8556Z (B738), coming in as WN 1487 from MDW: in the air, landing about 4:34 PM ET, 44 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1931 · FLL → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?