WN 2004 · LAS → PIT

departs 7:44 AM PT · arrives 2:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2004 · LAS → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?