WN 2098 · RDU → LAS

departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 12:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from RDU are usually not late

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2098 · RDU → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?