WN 2178 · DEN → BZN

took off 10:45 AM MT · landed 11:56 AM MT (scheduled 8:37 AM MT → 10:22 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BZN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BZN that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BZN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2178 · DEN → BZN

Odds over time

How late did it get to BZN?