WN 2250 · SNA → LAS

departs 12:33 PM PT · arrives 1:47 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±9 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2250 · SNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?