WN 2258 · LAS → BUR

departs 11:14 AM PT · arrives 12:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2258 · LAS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?