WN 225 · BWI → RIC

departs 9:29 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 0.866667 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BWI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at RIC that day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility0.866667 mi Precip0.35 in

RIC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 225 · BWI → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?