WN 2312 · LAS → LAX

departs 5:37 AM PT · arrives 6:53 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from LAS are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2312 · LAS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?