WN 2421 · RDU → MDW

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 1:35 PM CT

Your aircraft is N924WN (B737).

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2421 · RDU → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?