WN 2438 · SNA → DEN

took off 8:39 AM PT · landed 11:35 AM MT (scheduled 7:45 AM PT → 11:02 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from SNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.21 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2438 · SNA → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?