WN 2442 · LAS → STL

departs 12:23 PM PT · arrives 5:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,286 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2442 · LAS → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?