WN 2454 · LAX → ABQ

departs 7:49 AM PT · arrives 10:51 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2454 · LAX → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?