WN 2531 · LGA → DEN

departs 6:54 AM ET · arrives 8:53 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LGA are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2531 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?