WN 2579 · FLL → MCO

departs 6:05 PM ET · arrives 7:13 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8607M (B738), coming in as WN 2689 from BNA: in the air, landing about 5:51 PM ET, 8 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

80% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2579 · FLL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?