WN 263 · LAS → SLC

departs 1:39 PM PT · arrives 4:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±8 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 263 · LAS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?