WN 263 · SLC → AUS

departs 4:40 PM MT · arrives 8:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.70 in

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 263 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?