WN 2652 · PHX → LAS

departs 10:25 AM MT · arrives 11:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±5 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2652 · PHX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?