WN 2683 · MCO → BNA

departs 11:23 AM ET · arrives 12:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2683 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?