WN 2685 · MCO → BNA

departs 3:42 PM ET · arrives 4:39 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8681M (B738), coming in as WN 626 from BNA: in the air, landing about 2:38 PM ET, 54 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2685 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?