WN 2727 · DEN → SNA

took off 10:44 AM MT · landed 11:55 AM PT (scheduled 9:59 AM MT → 11:29 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2727 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SNA?