WN 2792 · MCO → RSW

departs 10:39 AM ET · arrives 11:46 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8843S (B38M), coming in as WN 4654 from PHL: in the air, landing about 9:30 AM ET, 60 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2792 · MCO → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?