WN 282 · AUS → BUR

departs 4:07 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM PT

Your aircraft is N221WN (B737), coming in as WN 3578 from RNO: landed 3:18 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 282 · AUS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?