WN 2936 · BWI → MHT

departs 6:49 AM ET · arrives 8:25 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.64286 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at MHT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MHT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.64286 mi Precip0.23 in

MHT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2936 · BWI → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?