WN 3127 · LAS → LGB

took off 2:04 PM PT · landed 2:48 PM PT (scheduled 1:01 PM PT → 2:15 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LGB that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

LGB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3127 · LAS → LGB

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGB?