Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3139 LANDED 1:32 AM PT, ~32 MIN EARLY

Monday, October 12 Yesterday

WN 3139 · LAS → RNO

took off 12:40 AM PT · landed 1:32 AM PT (scheduled 12:41 AM PT → 2:09 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RNO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

RNO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3139 · LAS → RNO

Odds over time

How late did it get to RNO?