WN 3184 · ABQ → LAX

departs 6:14 AM MT · arrives 7:20 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3184 · ABQ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?