WN 3223 · MCO → BDL

departs 7:14 AM ET · arrives 9:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2.71429 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BDL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3223 · MCO → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?