WN 3249 · BNA → FLL

took off 4:46 PM CT · landed 7:29 PM ET (scheduled 4:19 PM CT → 7:41 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3249 · BNA → FLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to FLL?