WN 3347 · BOS → AUS

took off 4:20 PM ET · expected to land 6:55 PM CT (scheduled 3:10 PM ET → 6:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
61%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3347 · BOS → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?