WN 3468 · PHX → PDX

departs 12:05 PM MT · arrives 2:47 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8829Q (B38M), coming in as WN 3323 from PDX: landed 11:33 AM MT.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3468 · PHX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?