WN 352 · LAS → TUS

departs 9:48 PM PT · arrives 11:17 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at TUS that day

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUS (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 352 · LAS → TUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUS?