Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3632
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 3632 · SAN → BWI
departs 9:50 PM PT · arrives 5:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 13%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 27%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 1.2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.