WN 366 · AUS → MCO

took off 5:13 AM CT · expected to land 8:15 AM ET (scheduled 5:06 AM CT → 8:45 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MCO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 366 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?