WN 3719 · SAT → LAS

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 3:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,286 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3719 · SAT → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?