Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3754
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 3754 · SEA → DEN
departs 11:06 AM PT · arrives 2:46 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 33%
Fri 10/16 32%
Sat 10/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.